BRATISLAVA. Kamil Gregor z KohoVolit.eu analyzoval presuny voličov medzi parlamentnými voľbami 2012 a prvým kolom prezidentských volieb.
Informácie o presunoch získal porovnaním výsledkov v jednotlivých obciach v minulosti a teraz s využitím metódy, ktorá predpokladá, že populácia sa medzi voľbami zásadne nemení. (Viac informácií nájdete tu.)
Prvý graf odpovedá na otázku, komu dali hlas voliči daného kandidáta v roku 2012. "Najpestrejších" voličov má druhý postupujúci vo voľbách Andrej Kiska.
{"dataSourceUrl":"//docs.google.com/spreadsheet/tq?key=0AnPPUkk0OUvbdFZXang5U0I2cWdBNGlKc1daS0hLWUE&transpose=0&headers=1&range=A1%3AI8&gid=0&pub=1","options":{"titleTextStyle":{"bold":true,"color":"#000","fontSize":16},"series":{"0":{"color":"#999999"},"2":{"color":"#434343"},"3":{"color":"#ffff00"},"4":{"color":"#ff9900"},"6":{"color":"#6aa84f"},"7":{"color":"#b4a7d6"}},"legendTextStyle":{"color":"#222","fontSize":"10"},"animation":{"duration":500},"width":497,"hAxis":{"useFormatFromData":true,"minValue":null,"viewWindowMode":null,"viewWindow":null,"maxValue":null},"chartArea":{"height":"79.784%","width":"91.549%","left":"7.847%","top":"12.129%"},"vAxes":[{"useFormatFromData":false,"title":null,"formatOptions":{"source":"inline","suffix":" %"},"minValue":null,"format":"0.##","logScale":false,"viewWindow":{"min":null,"max":null},"maxValue":null},{"useFormatFromData":true,"minValue":null,"logScale":false,"viewWindow":{"min":null,"max":null},"maxValue":null}],"title":"Odkia\u013e pri\u0161li voli\u010di v roku 2014","booleanRole":"certainty","height":371,"legend":"top","focusTarget":"category","tooltip":{},"isStacked":true},"state":{},"view":{},"isDefaultVisualization":false,"chartType":"ColumnChart","chartName":"Chart 1"}
Druhý graf ukazuje kam sa presunula podpora strán z roku 2012 v prezidentských voľbách 2014. Najviac nevoličov medzi stranami má Smer, viac ako polovica voličov KDH podporila Procházku.
{"dataSourceUrl":"//docs.google.com/spreadsheet/tq?key=0AnPPUkk0OUvbdFZXang5U0I2cWdBNGlKc1daS0hLWUE&transpose=0&headers=1&range=A24%3AH32&gid=0&pub=1","options":{"titleTextStyle":{"bold":true,"color":"#000","fontSize":16},"series":{"0":{"color":"#999999"},"2":{"color":"#ffff00"},"3":{"color":"#783f04"},"4":{"color":"#4a86e8"},"5":{"color":"#93c47d"}},"legendTextStyle":{"color":"#222","fontSize":"10"},"animation":{"duration":500},"width":497,"hAxis":{"useFormatFromData":true,"minValue":null,"viewWindowMode":null,"viewWindow":null,"maxValue":null},"chartArea":{"height":"79.784%","width":"91.549%","left":"7.847%","top":"12.129%"},"vAxes":[{"useFormatFromData":false,"title":null,"formatOptions":{"source":"inline","suffix":" %"},"minValue":null,"viewWindowMode":"explicit","format":"0.##","logScale":false,"viewWindow":{"min":null,"max":100},"maxValue":100},{"useFormatFromData":true,"minValue":null,"logScale":false,"viewWindow":{"min":null,"max":null},"maxValue":null}],"booleanRole":"certainty","title":"Kam odi\u0161li voli\u010di z roku 2012?","height":371,"legend":"top","focusTarget":"category","tooltip":{},"isStacked":true},"state":{},"view":{},"isDefaultVisualization":false,"chartType":"ColumnChart","chartName":"Chart 2"}
(SMK je započítané medzi ostatnými)
Aj keď po prvom zverejnení priebežných výsledkov mohla u niekoho existovať nádej na zmenu pri druhom a treťom mieste, rozdiel medzi Kiskom a Procházkom sa už nijak podstatne až do spočítania všetkých hlasov nezmenil.
{"dataSourceUrl":"//docs.google.com/spreadsheet/tq?key=0AnPPUkk0OUvbdFlTM0ZocktHNV9uN3c2ZDNNRTJiTWc&transpose=0&headers=1&range=A42%3AH77&gid=1&pub=1","options":{"titleTextStyle":{"bold":true,"color":"#000","fontSize":16},"series":{"0":{"color":"#dc3912"},"1":{"color":"#990099"},"2":{"color":"#ff9900"},"4":{"color":"#666666"},"6":{"pointSize":2,"color":"#980000"}},"curveType":"","animation":{"duration":500},"width":490,"lineWidth":2,"hAxis":{"useFormatFromData":true,"minValue":null,"viewWindowMode":null,"viewWindow":null,"maxValue":null},"chartArea":{"height":"61.725%","width":"86.957%","left":"13.043%","top":"19.137%"},"vAxes":[{"title":null,"useFormatFromData":false,"formatOptions":{"source":"inline","suffix":" %"},"minValue":null,"format":"0.##","viewWindow":{"min":null,"max":null},"maxValue":null},{"useFormatFromData":true,"minValue":null,"viewWindow":{"min":null,"max":null},"maxValue":null}],"title":"Ako sa počas noci menila podpora kandid\u00e1tov","booleanRole":"certainty","height":371,"legend":"top","focusTarget":"category","tooltip":{}},"state":{},"view":{},"isDefaultVisualization":false,"chartType":"LineChart","chartName":"Chart 1"}
Beata
Balogová
